RESEARCH ARIZONA DRAW ODDS FOR THE 2018 APPLICATION SEASON
| Dec. 9, 2017 | Hunt Research

To date, Arizona has been the most difficult state we have worked with in respect to acquiring big game draw details. We've spoken with many fine folks at the Arizona Department of Game and Fish, on numerous occasions. Ultimately we were able to obtain enough supplemental draw information to accurately produce random (1/2 Pass) draw odds in Arizona.

The state of Arizona's big game draw is composed of 3 distinct passes: the Bonus Point Pass, then the First-Second Choice Pass, and then Third-Fourth-Fifth Choice Pass. For a full explanation of what those mean, see the Hunt Draw Process page on the Arizona Game and Fish Department's website.

Arizona's draw process is somewhat unique in that there are no guaranteed quotas for nonresidents. In general, they do make available "up to" 10% of all tags to nonresident applicants but they do not separate applicants by residency status when conducting the draw. As such, the odds you will draw a tag in the random (1/2 Pass) drawing can be significantly influenced by the distribution of resident vs. nonresident demand for a given hunt.

New for the 2018 application season, we are using a computer simulation to perform and consider all aspects of the Arizona drawing process using the applicant data for each draw year. We simulate each draw thousands of times in order to determine the true random (1/2 Pass) draw odds. Our draw simulation considers all applicants and their group bonus point totals, the distribution of resident/nonresident demand, quota maximums, group applications and application hunt choice orders.

In addition, we have also added draw information for Mule Deer, Coues Deer and Desert Sheep for 2018. Good luck in the draws!

Tags:
KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST
APPLICATION CALENDAR
See an error? Let us know.
Date has been set and published
STATE BEGINS ENDS RESULTS
AZ [1] Early Jan. Feb. 13, '18 Mid March
AZ [2] Early May Mid June Mid July
CO Mid Feb. Apr. 4, '17 June 1
CO [3] July 25, '17
ID [4] Apr. 1 Apr. 30 Early June
ID [5] May 1 June 5 Late June
MT [6] Jan. 23, '17 Mar. 15, '17 ~Apr. 17
MT [7] End of Mar. May 1, '17 ~Jun. 12
MT [8] End of Mar. Jun. 1, '17 ~Jul. 31
MT [9] End of Mar. Jun. 1, '17 ~Jul. 18
NV Mar. 20 Apr. 17 Jun. 9
NM Jan. 10, '18 Mar. 21, '18 Late Apr.
OR Early Feb. May 15, '17 Jun. 20
UT Jan. 26, '17 Mar. 2, '17 ~May 20
WY [10] Jan. 2, '18 Jan. 31, '18 Feb. 22
WY [11] Jan. 2, '18 Feb. 28, '18 May 10
WY [12] Feb. 1, '18 Feb. 28, '18 May 10
WY [13] Jan. 2, '18 May 31, '18 June 21
[1] = AZ: Elk and Antelope
[2] = AZ: Deer, Sheep, Bison, Fall Bear/Javelina
[3] = CO: Over the Counter Sales Begin
[4] = ID: Sheep, Moose, Goat
[5] = ID: Deer, Elk, Antelope
[6] = MT: Deer, Elk
[7] = MT: Moose, Goat, Sheep, Bison
[8] = MT: Antelope
[9] = MT: Deer, Elk B Licenses
[10] = WY: Nonresident Elk
[11] = WY: Moose, Sheep, Goat
[12] = WY: Bison
[13] = WY: Res./Nonres. Deer, Antelope - Res. Elk
KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST
Terms of Use