-
How do you calculate the draw odds?
-
In order to get the most accurate results possible, we simulate each state's draw using computer
programs we created that mirror state procedures. Our simulations use the entire applicant
database from the states, including hunt choice order and group application information where
applicable. As fees increase and demand grows, understanding your true chances to draw should be
an important part of your hunt plans and budget.
-
Why do draw simulations produce more accurate odds than simple spreadsheet math?
-
Every state has their own unique drawing procedures. When calculating the true odds one must
consider point systems, applicant pools, capped species quotas, hunt choice orders and the manner
in which each application is evaluated before moving on. This quickly becomes extremely difficult
or impossible to do with simple math. For example, checkout some prior articles here, here and here.
-
Do you offer a free trial?
-
No. Instead of a trial period, we publish an older set of our data that is freely available to
everyone. Click on "DRAW ODDS" in the main navigation to explore a state/species and get a feel
for how information is presented and organized. Example: Wyoming Elk
-
When do you update your data?
-
States release new information at varying times throughout the year, but annual regs and quotas
usually start getting published in December. The latest harvest information from the prior year
usually begins coming out in March and we typically start updating draw odds in May after some of
the the annual draws have completed.
-
I'm researching for 2022 hunts, but your most recent draw odds are from 2022. Where are the 2022
draw odds?
-
This is a common misconception. We can't publish the 2022 draw odds until after the 2022 draws
have actually occurred! We're not predicting the future - you research for 2022 applications using
data from the 2021 draws. We clearly label our annual information so it's clear what year's data
you are looking at.
-
I am an onX Hunt Elite member. How do I access my onX Hunt Elite Benefits?
-
Free access to Toprut is available to all onX Hunt Elite members. Click here for specific instructions
on how to sign up for Toprut through the onX Elite Benefits program.
-
Why don't you provide unit trophy ratings or "hit lists"?
-
We believe you can generally infer the quality of a particular big game unit from demand and draw
odds. Underrated "sleeper" units and hunts do exist, but they wouldn't be sleepers long if they
are actively promoted as such. Additionally, there are plenty of great services like our friends
at Huntin' Fool
that can provide personalized guidance on hunt selection if you require it.
-
What states do you cover?
-
Currently Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Nevada, Oregon, Utah and
Wyoming.
-
Do you plan on covering more states?
-
It's likely - we are currently in the process of evaluating some additional information and have
plans to release Kansas in early 2022.
-
I joined and have a Peak membership, but I am still seeing data from 2019. How do I see the latest
information?
-
You need to login to get the latest data.
-
Is a membership based on calendar year, or is it good for 12 months from my date of signup?
-
Your annual membership is valid for 12 months following your signup date.
