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How do you calculate the draw odds?
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In order to get the most accurate results possible, we simulate each state's draw using computer programs we created that mirror state procedures. Our simulations use the entire applicant database from the states, including hunt choice order and group application information where applicable. As fees increase and demand grows, understanding your true chances to draw should be an important part of your hunt plans and budget.
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Why do draw simulations produce more accurate odds than simple spreadsheet math?
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Every state has their own unique drawing procedures. When calculating the true odds one must consider point systems, applicant pools, capped species quotas, hunt choice orders and the manner in which each application is evaluated before moving on. This quickly becomes extremely difficult or impossible to do with simple math. For example, checkout some prior articles here, here and here.
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Do you offer a free trial?
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No. Instead of a trial period, we publish an older set of our data that is freely available to everyone. Click on "DRAW ODDS" in the main navigation to explore a state/species and get a feel for how information is presented and organized. Example: Wyoming Elk
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When do you update your data?
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States release new information at varying times throughout the year, but annual regs and quotas usually start getting published in December. The latest harvest information from the prior year usually begins coming out in March and we typically start updating draw odds in May after some of the the annual draws have completed.
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I'm researching for 2021 hunts, but your most recent draw odds are from 2020. Where are the 2021 draw odds?
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This is a common misconception. We can't publish the 2021 draw odds until after the 2021 draws have actually occurred! We're not predicting the future - you research for 2021 applications using data from the 2020 draws. We clearly label our annual information so it's clear what year's data you are looking at.
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Why don't you provide unit trophy ratings or "hit lists"?
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We believe you can generally infer the quality of a particular big game unit from demand and draw odds. Underrated "sleeper" units and hunts do exist, but they wouldn't be sleepers long if they are actively promoted as such. Additionally, there are plenty of great services like our friends at Huntin' Fool that can provide personalized guidance on hunt selection if you require it.
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What states do you cover?
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Currently Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Nevada, Utah and Wyoming.
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Do you plan on covering more states?
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It's likely - we are currently in the process of evaluating some additional information and have requested data from the state of California.
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I joined and have a Peak membership, but I am still seeing data from 2018. How do I see the latest information?
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You need to login to get the latest data.
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Is a membership based on calendar year, or is it good for 12 months from my date of signup?
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Your annual membership is valid for 12 months following your signup date.
